In this study, we analyzed the position data of the victims and 1km mesh rainfall
observation data in the heavy rains of July 2018, Typhoon No. 19 of 2019, and the heavy rains
of July 2020, and tried to estimate the number of victims using various rainfall indicators. As a
result of analyzing the relationship between rainfall indicators such as 3, 6, 12, 24, 48, 72 hour
rainfall and soil water index and the number of victims, it was found that the “ratio to historical
record”, which is the ratio to the maximum value observed in the past, is highly related to the
occurrence of victims. Since the rainfall indicator that corresponds well to the occurrence of
victims differs depending on the case of heavy rainfall, we used the maximum value of past
maximum ratio of 7 indicators and were able to roughly estimate the number of victims caused
by heavy rain disasters.
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