1. The United States is becoming the global R&D center for pharmaceuticals. This may be explained by prospects for continued growth in the world's largest pharmaceuticals market, government measures to promote development of new drugs, faster approvals of new drug applications as well as effective policies and institutional reforms based on national industry promotion strategies.
2. Large scale reforms of the Medicare system will boost expenditures on pharmaceuticals, as prescription drugs are now covered under the benefit plan.
3. The development of private medical insurance schemes exemplified by the Managed Care system, while limiting drug price increases, will as a whole lead to further increased expenditure on pharmaceuticals by facilitating consumption.
4. With the degree of consolidation low in the pharmaceuticals industry relative to other industry sectors, further M&A moves are likely despite recent large-scale mergers.
5. R&D expenditure will continue to rise due to increasingly complex diseases, longer development lead times, and higher development risks.
6. With blockbuster drugs accounting for a high 70% of total revenues at pharmaceutical firms, R&D efforts will continue to be targeted at new blockbusters.
7. With reliance on blockbusters alone risky, pharmaceutical firms will also pursue strategic alliances, licensing agreement, and joint R&D.
8. The NIH plays a central role in assuring close and effective cooperation as well as information sharing between political, administrative, and industry spheres.
9. The FDA and other regulating agencies are quick to formulate and implement various measures including the Prescription Drug User Fee Act and Hatch-Waxman Act in an effort to assist pharmaceutical firms to develop new drugs.
10. No system is perfect. Voluntary withdrawal of Vioxx from the market and ensuing litigations have resulted from criticism and oversight of the US pharmaceutical industry. Public criticism against placing corporate profits before public safety also questions the principles of a US medical care system based primarily on market forces. Going forward, demand will be for pharmaceutical companies to balance corporate profit and public welfare.
View full abstract