Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshu
Online ISSN : 1882-7187
Print ISSN : 0289-7806
ISSN-L : 0289-7806
ASSET PRICING ANALYSIS CONSIDERING SEISMIC RISK BY STOCHASTIC DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW METHOD
Takaaki NAKAMURAMasaru HOSHIYATomoya MOCHIZUKI
Author information
JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

2004 Volume 2004 Issue 752 Pages 169-178

Details
Abstract
Civil engineering and architectural facilities can be characterized as an asset to produce income. In this study, a discounted cash flow method (DCF method) considering a seismic risk is proposed, and a methodology on how to evaluate a discounted present value of the asset pricing is presented with a conditional exceeding probability function of the asset pricing. In the DCF method, an estimation of income is based on a random walk model where as the seismic risk is associated with structural damages is based on a probabilistic model, in which losses by one earthquake event during service time are considered. Finally, the usefulness of the proposed method is demonstrated through a numerical example of a commercial building.
Content from these authors
© by Japan Society of Civil Engineers
Previous article Next article
feedback
Top