Journal of Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science
Online ISSN : 2434-1037
Print ISSN : 0286-6021
Practical Study of a Scenario Development Workshop Concerning the Introduction of Weather Modification Technology into Future Societies
Takuya IwahoriChristoph RupprechtTsuyoshi Hatori
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2025 Volume 44 Issue 1 Pages 47-61

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Abstract
This paper considers the significance and potential of using a workshop-based scenario development method from futures studies to pluralistically and critically explore future societies in the context of introducing weather modification as a largely unknown technology. Across three experimental scenario workshops, university students (n=148) envisioned future societies with advanced weather modification technology development. We identified six main and 16 sub-patterns from the scenarios created, then examined issues and concerns of participants from which scenarios arose. Lastly, we discuss the significance and issues of employing this kind of scenario workshop as a method for conducting citizen dialogues and workshops on the topic of weather modification.
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© 2025 Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science
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