IEEJ Transactions on Electronics, Information and Systems
Online ISSN : 1348-8155
Print ISSN : 0385-4221
ISSN-L : 0385-4221
<Information Processing, Software>
Short-term Power Demand Forecasting using Fixed Information at the Time of Prediction
Ken-ihi TokoroTakayuki Higo
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2017 Volume 137 Issue 8 Pages 1036-1042

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Abstract

This paper proposes a method to predict net power demand of a few hours ahead using fixed information at the time of prediction, result value of net power demand, air temperature, and solar radiation. Because the result value is obtained easily, the proposed method updates the prediction value at short intervals using latest result value. We evaluate the performance of the proposed method using the demand data of an actual power company. The prediction error of the proposed method is 0.97% when we predict net power demand of 90 minutes ahead.

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© 2017 by the Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan
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