Bulletin of Data Analysis of Japanese Classification Society
Online ISSN : 2434-3382
Print ISSN : 2186-4195
Article
The Asahi Shimbun’s Election Research Methodology
Yasuyuki SaitoToshikazu TakahashiTatsuya EguchiToshio IshimotoTakashi ShinoboriHiroyoshi Osaki
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2024 Volume 13 Issue 1 Pages 17-29

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Abstract

Since 1955, the Asahi Shimbun has been conducting national pre-election polls, evolving from face-to-face interviews to telephone surveys sampled from voter lists and eventually to the current hybrid method combining Random Digit Dialing (RDD) for landlines and cell phones with internet online surveys. This paper traces the history of these methodologies and explains the methodology of RDD and Internet survey showing the challenges for them. It also highlights the signifcance of exit polls, which have been experimentally conducted since the 1990s and have become indispensable for election reporting on television and vote analysis in newspapers.

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© 2024 Japanese Classification Society
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